Exchange War

Here it is the beginning of the formation of some speculative bubbles that must blow up at any time and in unexpected way. It would be here beginning of the crisis that if avizinha? One another aspect that deserves attention is the price of commodities. The populations of China and India come if urbanizando and consuming more foods. The rise of the income in the emergent countries also comes bringing for the animal protein market a great population contingent. These factors come making to strong speed up the prices of foods and commodities agriculturists. Moreover, the climate due the global heating comes almost provoking that always some important harvest in addition in global scale feeding still more the prices. It is important to stand out that the American crisis of credit of 2008 was provoked in great measured for the inflationary pressure of foods, a time that stops fighting the inflation generated for it the governments had had in 2007/08 that to initiate a process of monetary squeeze and ascent of interests and had caught a become indebted American population.

Until when the world it will resist the pressures comings of the field? In what it refers to the energy, the scene continues speculative, the one spite lesser growth of the economies of the countries central offices. It fulfills to designate that as secondary effect of the monetary diffidence has clearly shelter and much speculation in commodities, retroalimentando the speculative spiral of prices. Will be the bubble of commodities the causer of the crisis that if avizinha? Finally, as final element of a possible signal of the crisis is the incredulity in the current monetary system. The exchange war stopped between China and U.S.A. is a reality and another inquietante factor. U.S.A. will search to any cost to devaluate its currency to leave the crisis and the Chinese will try to neutralize this movement. In this general uncertainty of who he will gain the war where will be the parameters of value reserve that is a basic function that the currency must play? It will be in the Exchange War the destruction of the current international monetary system? As he saw himself, he has threatening pressures in the world-wide economy in this beginning of 2011. Many have spoken in recovery of the world-wide economy, of the sustentation of BRICS, of the recovery of prices in some sectors and of the profits coming back toward some companies, among others positive factors. Quite to the contrary, the current moment inspires caution.